25 February 2010 - 14:01Market Commentary 2/25/10


Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview

World indexes:

DJIA

-1.75%

S&P500

-1.56%

NASDAQ

-1.45%

CAC40

-2.06%

DAX

-1.56%

NIKKEI

-0.95%

Movers & Shakers:

NZD/USD

+0.92%

AUD/USD

+0.77%

AUD/JPY

+0.58%

EUR/USD

+0.54%

EUR/JPY

+0.34%

CHF/JPY

+0.31%

EUR/GBP

+0.31%

GBP/USD

+0.22%

CAD/JPY

+0.18%

EUR/CAD

+0.17%

AUD/NZD

-0.16%

USD/JPY

-0.18%

EUR/NOK

-0.18%

EUR/AUD

-0.22%

GBP/CHF

-0.27%

USD/CAD

-0.36%

USD/CHF

-0.50%

USD/NOK

-0.71%

USD/SEK

-0.89%

Important levels:

Support

Resistance

EUR/USD

1.3488

1.3612

1.3434

1.3682

1.3364

1.3736

 

GBP/USD

1.5376

1.5466

1.5337

1.5517

1.5286

1.5556

 

USD/CHF

1.0752

1.0856

1.0693

1.0902

1.0647

1.0961

 

USD/JPY

89.925

90.515

89.555

90.735

89.335

91.105

 

SWFX Sentiment Index

Dukascopy analytic desk report
Published: 25 February 2010 at 16.50 GMT

Most important events of the day

Feb 25

Count.

Event

For

Unit

Imp.

Act.

Cons.

Prev.

00:30

AU AU

Private Capex

Q4

% y/y

5.5

2

-5.2

00:30

AU AU

AWOTE

Q4

01:45

EU EU

ECB Executive Board member Stark is lead discussant at an IMF and Korean Development Institute workshop on “Reconstructing the World Economy”

02:00

NZ NZ

NBNZ Business Confidence

Jan

index

50.1

38.5

02:00

NZ NZ

Monetary Aggregates M3

Jan

% y/y

-4.5

-1.1

07:45

FR FR

PPI

Jan

% m/m

0.7

0.3

0.1

07:45

FR FR

PPI

Jan

% y/y

0.4

0.1

-2.9

07:45

FR FR

Consumer Confidence

Feb

index

-28

-29

08:00

ES ES

PPI

Jan

%y/y

0.9

0.8

0.4

08:15

SE SE

Consumer Confidence

Feb

Index

13

9

8.5

08:15

SE SE

Economic Tendency Survey

Feb

Index

107.7

104.1

103.4

08:15

SE SE

Manufacturing Confidence

Feb

Index

3

-2

-4

08:30

SE SE

PPI

Jan

% m/m

2.0

0.6

0.2

08:30

SE SE

PPI

Jan

% y/y

0.3

-1.1

-0.8

08:30

IT IT

ISAE Business Sentiment

Feb

index

84

83.6

83.2

08:55

DE DE

Unemployment

Feb

K

7

16

6

09:00

NO NO

Unemployment (nsa) (NAV)

Feb

% rate

3.2

3.2

3.3

09:00

EU EU

M3 (sa)

Jan

% y/y

0.1

-0.3

09:00

EU EU

M3 3 month (sa)

Jan

% y/y

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

09:30

GB GB

Total Business Investment (P)

Q4

% q/q

-5.8

0.1

-1.8

09:30

GB GB

Total Business Investment (P)

Q4

% y/y

-24.1

-18.5

-20.8

09:30

GB GB

BoE Governor King testifies on “The Future of Banking” before the Banking Commission Hearing

10:00

EU EU

Business Climate

Feb

index

-0.98

-1.05

-1.12

10:00

EU EU

Consumer sentiment

Feb

index

-17

-17

-16

10:00

EU EU

Economic sentiment

Feb

index

95.9

96.4

95.7

10:00

EU EU

Industrial sentiment

Feb

index

-13

-13

-14

10:00

DE DE

Bundesbank board member Boehmler gives speech on exiting the crisis

10:15

BE BE

CPI

Feb

% m/m

0.42

0.46

10:15

BE BE

CPI

Feb

%y/y

0.7

0.62

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-36

-39

12:45

GB GB

CBI Distributive Trades

Feb

Index

-23

-2

-8

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-39

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-39

13:30

US US

Durable goods orders

Jan

% m/m

-0.6

1.5

2.0

13:30

US US

Durables ex defence

Jan

% m/m

0.3

13:30

US US

Durables ex transport

Jan

% m/m

-0.6

1

2.0

13:30

US US

Initial Claims

20-Feb

k

496

460

474

13:35

US US

Cleveland Fed President Pianalto gives speech before Daytona Area Chamber of Commerce Government Affairs breakfast

14:00

US US

Fed Chairman Bernanke delivers semi-annual report before a Senate panel

14:00

US US

House Financial Services Committee holds hearing on “Compensation in the Financial Industry: Government Perspectives”

15:00

US US

FHFA House Price Index

Dec

%m/m

-1.6

0.4

0.4

15:00

US US

Congressional Oversight Panel hearing on “Assistance Provided to GMAC Under TARP”

18:00

NO NO

Norges Bank Governor Gjedrem gives speech before the Peterson Institute for International Economics

18:00

GB GB

BoE MPC board member Miles gives speech at Imperial College

18:15

US US

St. Louis President Bullard gives speech before the TMAP Economic Forecast Luncheon

19:00

US US

House Financial Services Committee hearing on “Compensation in the Financial Industry: Government Perspectives”

21:45

NZ NZ

Trade Balance

Jan

NZ $ mn

-100

2

21:45

NZ NZ

Building Consents

Jan

%m/m

2.2

-2.4

23:30

JP JP

CPI Core (Nation)

Jan

% y/y

-1.4

-1.3

23:30

JP JP

CPI Core (Tokyo)

Jan

% y/y

-2

-2

23:50

JP JP

Large Retailers Sales

Jan

% y/y

-4.6

-4.6

23:50

JP JP

Retail sales

Jan

%y/y

-0.2

-0.2

23:50

JP JP

Industrial Production (P)

Jan

% m/m

1

1.9

23:50

JP JP

Industrial Production (P)

Jan

% y/y

16.5

5.1

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