26 February 2010 - 16:44Market Commentary 2/26/10

The economic situation we face today caused by the actions of the Federal Reserve and the government can be compared to the situation a drunk and his co-dependents face when he starts to sober up and realizes what a mess he has made of his life. The Fed, our government and the drunk can either decide to face the facts and realize the pain or continue to imbibe and completely destroy ourselves.

So far the fed and the government have opted to continue drinking, much to the detriment of those who are codependent to them. We are told that the consequences of not continuing the destructive behavior (deficit spending, debt monetizing)  would be unbearable, the pain to severe to contemplate much less deal with. That in fact those actions will solve the problems we face instead of make them worse. Just like the drunk will deny he has a problem or say that he cannot stop drinking because it would force him to experience emotional and physical pain he doesn’t want to contemplate much less deal with.

Well I am sure we all know someone who refused to face facts and drank or drugged themselves to death or incapacitation. Now our “leaders” elected or otherwise instead of admitting that the economy has become unmanageable and that they are powerless over their addiction to money creation, spending and economic engineering are going on a binge even worse than before. Their addiction is progressive much like alcoholism, as even some “progressives” are starting to admit. The end result of which will be either the death or incapacitation of our nation, which the historical record has shown to befall all democracies due to loose fiscal policy and drunks who don’t put down the bottle.

The Federal Reserve and government must admit a power greater than themselves can restore us to sanity, the U.S. Constitution. After such realization the fed & government must turn their will and lives over to the Constitution as they understand it. At which point they must make take an inventory of themselves. Admitting to God, themselves and the American people the exact nature of their wrongs. After which they must be entirely ready to have the Constitution remove their defective policy. Humbling themselves, them must ask the American people, other nations and free markets to remove their shortcomings. By selling federal land and equipment not necessary to the defense of the nation and dividing the governments gold stock by all the dollars in circulation to stabilize the dollar.

Once steps 1-7 are finished, the government (the Federal Reserve no longer exists) needs to make a list of all those nations, organizations and individuals they have harmed and make direct amends to them whenever possible except when doing so would hurt them or others.  Going forward the federal government will continue to take inventory and when wrong promptly admit it. Through listening to constituents and meditating on the Constitution improve their conscious contact with the Constitution, praying only for the knowledge to follow the will of the framers.

Finally, having a political awakening as a result of these steps, our country would carry this message to the hopeless governments and banks of other countries, practicing these principals in all our affairs.

Will this be painful? Of course it will, is it necessary? Absolutely, the only alternative is the complete subjugation of our country to worldwide government since we are incapacitated or the death of our nation, resulting in anarchy which is always followed by dictatorship. Much as the drunk either ends up with wet brain or dead from drink.

How do I figure this? Well consider that our money supply was doubled in a few short months at the end of 2008. Consider the rally in the stock market is purely inflationary, has failed the 50% retracement and that much like the suckers rally before the great depression will lead to a bigger crash than before. Consider that the government and the fed’s response will be to create more money out of nothing, and the government spending it into circulation for bailouts, warfare and welfare will lead to hyperinflation and even more widespread poverty and unrest.

Their “solution” is like picking up another drink to kill the pain of being a drunk, it can only end badly.

No Comments | Tags: Commentary

25 February 2010 - 14:09Trading advice 2/25/10


4X Currency Trading 

 

AUDUSD FORECAST UPDATE

February 17, 2010


 

 

 

Dear Subscriber,

 

This was originally sent to me by my colleague on February 17, I am posting it now since it has proven accurate and there is still money to be made with this forecast in my opinion. Below is a chart of the AUDUSD Monthly and the chart below that was sent out Sunday.  We have completed the upward first measred movement and will look to short into the .9015 Price Pivot area.

 

The monthly price target for AUD/USD is .8350 level.  This is a mid term objective and may take some time depending on the strong Gold correlation with this preferred commodity currency. 

 

 

 

 AUDUSD

Global Disclaimers
The distribution of this material may be restricted by law in certain jurisdictions. Persons accessing these and the following pages are required to inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. The content of this e-mail and its attachments are neither an offer nor a solicitation of an offer to sell investments in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not lawful or in which the person making such an offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. You should seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in these markets if you are at all unsure, as well as confirming the legal and tax and accounting characteristics and consequences, of the transaction that you are able to assume those risks. 4x Currency Trading, 4x Trade Alerts.  makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained herein or otherwise provided . Any person placing reliance on this document,  e-mail, and its attachments to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk and 4x Currency Trading, 4x Trade Alerts does not accept any liability as a result. Forex, Securities and Derivatives Markets may be subject to rapid and unexpected price movements and past performance is not necessarily, or to be interpreted as such, a guide to future performance
Investors should appreciate that due to the volatile nature of the currency markets, the value of your investments can decrease as well as increase and, as such, funds invested should constitute risk capital. Aggressive  and notional trading while profits can be substantially higher losses can be much greater too.

No Comments | Tags: Trading Advice

25 February 2010 - 14:01Market Commentary 2/25/10


Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview

World indexes:

DJIA

-1.75%

S&P500

-1.56%

NASDAQ

-1.45%

CAC40

-2.06%

DAX

-1.56%

NIKKEI

-0.95%

Movers & Shakers:

NZD/USD

+0.92%

AUD/USD

+0.77%

AUD/JPY

+0.58%

EUR/USD

+0.54%

EUR/JPY

+0.34%

CHF/JPY

+0.31%

EUR/GBP

+0.31%

GBP/USD

+0.22%

CAD/JPY

+0.18%

EUR/CAD

+0.17%

AUD/NZD

-0.16%

USD/JPY

-0.18%

EUR/NOK

-0.18%

EUR/AUD

-0.22%

GBP/CHF

-0.27%

USD/CAD

-0.36%

USD/CHF

-0.50%

USD/NOK

-0.71%

USD/SEK

-0.89%

Important levels:

Support

Resistance

EUR/USD

1.3488

1.3612

1.3434

1.3682

1.3364

1.3736

 

GBP/USD

1.5376

1.5466

1.5337

1.5517

1.5286

1.5556

 

USD/CHF

1.0752

1.0856

1.0693

1.0902

1.0647

1.0961

 

USD/JPY

89.925

90.515

89.555

90.735

89.335

91.105

 

SWFX Sentiment Index

Dukascopy analytic desk report
Published: 25 February 2010 at 16.50 GMT

Most important events of the day

Feb 25

Count.

Event

For

Unit

Imp.

Act.

Cons.

Prev.

00:30

AU AU

Private Capex

Q4

% y/y

5.5

2

-5.2

00:30

AU AU

AWOTE

Q4

01:45

EU EU

ECB Executive Board member Stark is lead discussant at an IMF and Korean Development Institute workshop on “Reconstructing the World Economy”

02:00

NZ NZ

NBNZ Business Confidence

Jan

index

50.1

38.5

02:00

NZ NZ

Monetary Aggregates M3

Jan

% y/y

-4.5

-1.1

07:45

FR FR

PPI

Jan

% m/m

0.7

0.3

0.1

07:45

FR FR

PPI

Jan

% y/y

0.4

0.1

-2.9

07:45

FR FR

Consumer Confidence

Feb

index

-28

-29

08:00

ES ES

PPI

Jan

%y/y

0.9

0.8

0.4

08:15

SE SE

Consumer Confidence

Feb

Index

13

9

8.5

08:15

SE SE

Economic Tendency Survey

Feb

Index

107.7

104.1

103.4

08:15

SE SE

Manufacturing Confidence

Feb

Index

3

-2

-4

08:30

SE SE

PPI

Jan

% m/m

2.0

0.6

0.2

08:30

SE SE

PPI

Jan

% y/y

0.3

-1.1

-0.8

08:30

IT IT

ISAE Business Sentiment

Feb

index

84

83.6

83.2

08:55

DE DE

Unemployment

Feb

K

7

16

6

09:00

NO NO

Unemployment (nsa) (NAV)

Feb

% rate

3.2

3.2

3.3

09:00

EU EU

M3 (sa)

Jan

% y/y

0.1

-0.3

09:00

EU EU

M3 3 month (sa)

Jan

% y/y

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

09:30

GB GB

Total Business Investment (P)

Q4

% q/q

-5.8

0.1

-1.8

09:30

GB GB

Total Business Investment (P)

Q4

% y/y

-24.1

-18.5

-20.8

09:30

GB GB

BoE Governor King testifies on “The Future of Banking” before the Banking Commission Hearing

10:00

EU EU

Business Climate

Feb

index

-0.98

-1.05

-1.12

10:00

EU EU

Consumer sentiment

Feb

index

-17

-17

-16

10:00

EU EU

Economic sentiment

Feb

index

95.9

96.4

95.7

10:00

EU EU

Industrial sentiment

Feb

index

-13

-13

-14

10:00

DE DE

Bundesbank board member Boehmler gives speech on exiting the crisis

10:15

BE BE

CPI

Feb

% m/m

0.42

0.46

10:15

BE BE

CPI

Feb

%y/y

0.7

0.62

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-36

-39

12:45

GB GB

CBI Distributive Trades

Feb

Index

-23

-2

-8

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-39

12:45

GB GB

CBI Industrial Trends

Feb

Index

-39

13:30

US US

Durable goods orders

Jan

% m/m

-0.6

1.5

2.0

13:30

US US

Durables ex defence

Jan

% m/m

0.3

13:30

US US

Durables ex transport

Jan

% m/m

-0.6

1

2.0

13:30

US US

Initial Claims

20-Feb

k

496

460

474

13:35

US US

Cleveland Fed President Pianalto gives speech before Daytona Area Chamber of Commerce Government Affairs breakfast

14:00

US US

Fed Chairman Bernanke delivers semi-annual report before a Senate panel

14:00

US US

House Financial Services Committee holds hearing on “Compensation in the Financial Industry: Government Perspectives”

15:00

US US

FHFA House Price Index

Dec

%m/m

-1.6

0.4

0.4

15:00

US US

Congressional Oversight Panel hearing on “Assistance Provided to GMAC Under TARP”

18:00

NO NO

Norges Bank Governor Gjedrem gives speech before the Peterson Institute for International Economics

18:00

GB GB

BoE MPC board member Miles gives speech at Imperial College

18:15

US US

St. Louis President Bullard gives speech before the TMAP Economic Forecast Luncheon

19:00

US US

House Financial Services Committee hearing on “Compensation in the Financial Industry: Government Perspectives”

21:45

NZ NZ

Trade Balance

Jan

NZ $ mn

-100

2

21:45

NZ NZ

Building Consents

Jan

%m/m

2.2

-2.4

23:30

JP JP

CPI Core (Nation)

Jan

% y/y

-1.4

-1.3

23:30

JP JP

CPI Core (Tokyo)

Jan

% y/y

-2

-2

23:50

JP JP

Large Retailers Sales

Jan

% y/y

-4.6

-4.6

23:50

JP JP

Retail sales

Jan

%y/y

-0.2

-0.2

23:50

JP JP

Industrial Production (P)

Jan

% m/m

1

1.9

23:50

JP JP

Industrial Production (P)

Jan

% y/y

16.5

5.1

No Comments | Tags: Commentary

23 February 2010 - 13:51market commentary 2/23/2010


Dukascopy

Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview

World indexes:

DJIA

-0.57%

S&P500

-0.86%

NASDAQ

-1.24%

CAC40

-1.50%

DAX

-1.79%

NIKKEI

-0.47%

Movers & Shakers:

NZD/USD

+0.92%

AUD/USD

+0.77%

AUD/JPY

+0.58%

EUR/USD

+0.54%

EUR/JPY

+0.34%

CHF/JPY

+0.31%

EUR/GBP

+0.31%

GBP/USD

+0.22%

CAD/JPY

+0.18%

EUR/CAD

+0.17%

AUD/NZD

-0.16%

USD/JPY

-0.18%

EUR/NOK

-0.18%

EUR/AUD

-0.22%

GBP/CHF

-0.27%

USD/CAD

-0.36%

USD/CHF

-0.50%

USD/NOK

-0.71%

USD/SEK

-0.89%

Important levels:

Support

Resistance

EUR/USD

1.3569

1.3649

1.3532

1.3691

1.3490

1.3728

 

GBP/USD

1.5459

1.5532

1.5417

1.5563

1.5386

1.5605

 

USD/CHF

1.0733

1.0783

1.0711

1.0812

1.0682

1.0834

 

USD/JPY

90.896

91.776

90.523

92.283

90.016

92.656

 

 

 

SWFX Sentiment Index

Dukascopy analytic desk report
Published: 23 February 2010 at 16.41 GMT

Most important events of the day

Feb 23

Count.

Event

For

Unit

Imp.

Act.

Cons.

Prev.

00:00

IS IS

Gallup Expectations

Feb

index

   

37.1

00:00

WLD WLD

WTO General Council meeting (22nd-23rd)

   

     

00:00

EU EU

European Banking Supervisors committee hold hearing on new EU bank capital requirement rules

   

     

00:00

WLD WLD

OECD Secretary General Gurria gives speech in Madrid

   

     

07:00

FI FI

Unemployment

Jan

% rate

9.5

 

7.9

07:00

CH CH

UBS Consumption Indicator

Jan

index

     

07:00

AU AU

RBA Deputy Governor Battellino gives speech in Sydney

   

     

07:15

EU EU

ECB Governing council member Fernandez Ordonez gives speech on “the Reform of the Spanish Financial System”

   

     

07:45

FR FR

Consumer Spending

Jan

% m/m

-2.7

-1.1

1.3

07:45

FR FR

Consumer Spending

Jan

% y/y

1.5

3.6

5.8

07:45

FR FR

CPI

Jan

% m/m

 

-0.3

0.2

07:45

FR FR

CPI

Jan

% y/y

1.1

1.1

 

07:45

FR FR

HICP

Jan

% m/m

 

-0.2

0.3

07:45

FR FR

HICP

Jan

%y/y

 

1.3

1

08:30

NL NL

Producer Confidence

Feb

index s.a

-6.9

-7.5

-8.3

08:30

IT IT

ISAE Consumer Confidence

Feb

index

 

111.7

111.7

09:00

DE DE

IFO Business Climate

Feb

Index

95.2

96.1

95.8

09:00

DE DE

IFO Current Conditions

Feb

Index

89.8

91.9

91.2

09:00

DE DE

IFO Expectations

Feb

Index

100.9

100.5

100.6

09:00

IT IT

CPI (F)

Jan

% m/m

0.1

0.1

0.1

09:00

IT IT

CPI (F)

Jan

% y/y

1.3

1.3

1.3

09:00

IT IT

HICP (F)

Jan

% m/m

-1.5

-1.4

-1.4

09:00

IT IT

HICP (F)

Jan

% y/y

1.3

1.4

1.4

09:15

GB GB

BoE MPC board members King, Bean, Dale, Miles and Barker to testify before the Treasury on Feb 2010 Inflation Report

   

     

09:30

GB GB

BBA Mortgage Approvals

Jan

K

35.083

 

45.65

11:00

GB GB

CBI Distributive Trades

Feb

Index

   

-8

12:10

GB GB

BoE Deputy Governor Tucker gives speech at 27th annual State of the Economy conference

   

     

14:00

BE BE

BNB Business Sentiment

Feb

Index

-7

-6.5

-7

14:00

US US

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price

Dec

% y/y

-3.08

-3.1

-5.34

15:00

US US

Consumer confidence

Feb

index

46.0

55

56.5

19:00

US US

House Financial Services Committee holds a hearing “Prospects for Employment Growth: Is Additional Stimulus Needed?”

   

     

22:05

US US

St. Louis Fed President Bullard gives speech on “Will Regulatory Reform Prevent Future Crises?” before the Chartered Financial Analysts Virginia Society

   

     

23:50

JP JP

CSPI

Jan

index

 

-1.1

-1.5

23:50

JP JP

Customs Cleared Trade

Jan

Y bn

 

136

544.2


Disclaimer: the data made available by Dukascopy (Suisse) SAis for informational purposes only. Publication of this data by Dukascopy (Suisse) SA does not constitute provision of investment advice and Dukascopy (Suisse) SA assumes no responsibility with regard toany information, forecast or recommendation herein contained and assumes no responsibility with regard toany losses resulting from any activities conducted the basis of this data, including any investment decisions.

No Comments | Tags: Commentary

17 February 2010 - 14:00Market commentary 2/17/10


Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview

World indexes:

DJIA

0.21%

S&P500

0.24%

NASDAQ

0.23%

CAC40

1.63%

DAX

1.12%

NIKKEI

2.72%

Movers & Shakers:

NZD/USD

+0.92%

AUD/USD

+0.77%

AUD/JPY

+0.58%

EUR/USD

+0.54%

EUR/JPY

+0.34%

CHF/JPY

+0.31%

EUR/GBP

+0.31%

GBP/USD

+0.22%

CAD/JPY

+0.18%

EUR/CAD

+0.17%

AUD/NZD

-0.16%

USD/JPY

-0.18%

EUR/NOK

-0.18%

EUR/AUD

-0.22%

GBP/CHF

-0.27%

USD/CAD

-0.36%

USD/CHF

-0.50%

USD/NOK

-0.71%

USD/SEK

-0.89%

Important levels:

Support

Resistance

EUR/USD

1.3641

1.3832

1.3520

1.3901

1.3451

1.4022

 

GBP/USD

1.5677

1.5844

1.5569

1.5904

1.5509

1.6012

 

USD/CHF

1.0614

1.0751

1.0566

1.0839

1.0478

1.0887

 

USD/JPY

89.813

90.613

89.366

90.966

89.013

91.413

 

 

 

SWFX Sentiment Index

Dukascopy analytic desk report
Published: 17 February 2010 at 16.36 GMT

Feb 17

Count.

Event

For

Unit

Imp.

Act.

Cons.

Prev.

00:00

JP JP

BoJ MPC Meeting (17th-18th Feb)

   

     

00:00

ES ES

GDP (F)

Q4

% y/y

-3.1

-3.1

-3.1

00:00

ES ES

GDP (F)

Q4

% q/q

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

00:00

AU AU

DWER Skilled Vacancies

Feb

% m/m

1.6

 

1.9

00:00

US US

Tresury Deputy Secretary Wolin meets with Kuwait’s FinMin Al-Shamali and Central Bank Governor Abdulaziz Al-Saad to discuss global response to economic crisis

   

     

05:00

EU EU

ECB governing council member Quaden presents Belgian annual report

   

     

07:00

SE SE

Prospera Money Market Expectations

Feb

 

     

09:30

GB GB

Average Earnings (incl. bonus)

Dec

% 3m y/y

0.8

0.9

0.8

09:30

GB GB

Claimant Count

Jan

K

23.5

-10

-15.2

09:30

GB GB

ILO Unemployment Rate

Dec

%

7.8

7.8

7.8

09:30

GB GB

BoE release minutes of prior (3rd-4th Feb) MPC meeting

   

     

09:30

GB GB

BoE release Agents’ Summary of Business Conditions - Feb 2010

   

     

10:00

EU EU

Trade balance (nsa)

Dec

EUR bn

4.4

5

4

10:00

EU EU

Trade balance (sa)

Dec

EUR bn

7

3.9

5.3

10:05

IT IT

Current Account

Dec

EUR mn

-3769

 

-4570

13:30

US US

Building Permits

Jan

k

621

620

653

13:30

US US

Housing Starts

Jan

k

 

580

557

13:30

US US

Import prices

Jan

% m/m

1.4

1

0.2

13:30

CA CA

Wholesale Sales

Dec

% m/m

0.7

0.8

2.7

14:00

BE BE

GDP (F)

Q4

%y/y

   

-3.4

14:00

BE BE

GDP (F)

Q4

%q/q

   

0.5

14:15

US US

Capacity utilisation

Jan

%

 

72.6

72

14:15

US US

Industrial production

Jan

% m/m

0.9

0.7

0.7

17:20

CA CA

BoC Deputy Governor Longworth gives speech before the C.C. Howe Institute

   

     

17:45

US US

Philadelphia Fed President Plosser gives speech on lessons from the worldwide financial crisis before the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia

   

     

19:00

US US

Fed release minutes from prior (Jan 26th-27th) FOMC meeting

   

     

19:00

US US

Budget

Jan

$ bn

 

-46

-91.9

22:20

AU AU

RBA Assistant Economic Governor Lowe, gives speech on Current Economic Landscape before the CEDA Economic and Political Overview

   

     

No Comments | Tags: Commentary

16 February 2010 - 14:21Important developments with brokers

A couple new developments which are worth mentioning.

BroCo Investments-

Broco is merging their Broco Trader and Broco Investor platforms soon. Variable spread Currenex based prices will appear alongside Broco Trader’s fixed spreads.

Also Broco’s Russian Roulette trading contest is starting tomorrow morning you have 24 hours to make as much money as possible on their Broco Trader platform, and can win up to $1,000 for it.

http://www.brocompany.com/contest/rr/register/?br=12364

Dukascopy SA-

Dukascopy has released the beta of MT4! Also they have reduced the minimum investment to $5,000 and plan to reduce the minimum further in the future. You can request a demo by clicking below. You will have to request one demo then on the confirmation page request the beta, check the MT4 box and resubmit the demo request.

https://demo-login.dukascopy.com/fo/register/demo/?profile=level2&ref=http://forextradersinc.com/contact_confirmation_dukas.htm&referer=220&cc_email=scott@forextradersinc.com

No Comments | Tags: Commentary