13 June 2008 - 15:07Trading Advice 6/13/08

Let’s just wait and see what the G8 has to say after this weekend. Some of the dollar buying this week is based on an expectation of intervention to keep the dollar afloat. Perhaps the intervention has already occurred and it was of the verbal kind. The Japanese have proved in the past that this can be very effective, especially as the market has grown so fast the physical intervention is basically a drop in the bucket these days. We could see more strong dollar rhetoric coming out of the meeting which could help USD/JPY breach resistance levels at 108.60 but I don’t expect to see any real intervention occurring. More than likely Iran selling oil in euros and yen will be debated. There is no question that the U.S. is very bitter about it and that the Europeans are happy about it since they don’t have to by the dollar to buy oil all the time.